<\/p>\n\n\n
Track: RC01 Concepts and Methods<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Type: Open Panel<\/p>\n\n\n\n Crisis research is retrospective by design: protest waves, institutional breakdowns, and conflict onsets are coded once publicly visible, and explanation works backwards from the moment of rupture. The pre-rupture phase is left underspecified \u2014 treated as background rather than as a phase with dynamics of its own. This panel treats that gap as a problem of concepts and methods, not of forecasting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We invite papers on any part of three linked questions. Theoretically, is there a pre-rupture phase that can be specified in advance, or is its appearance an artefact of hindsight \u2014 and does this depend on whether preferences stay concealed until cascade, or strain accumulates slowly across thresholds? Methodologically, what does a signal look like \u2014 statistical behaviour read without regard to content (rising variance, slower recovery from disturbance), or substantive conditions such as institutional predictability, belonging, and future horizons, traced through digital, textual, administrative or survey evidence? Reflexively, what does it mean to search for signals we already know occurred, given that rupture is rare and false positive rates are severe for any plausible indicator \u2014 and what political work does the claim to anticipate crisis do on its own account?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Conceptual, formal, computational and interpretive contributions are all welcome, including papers arguing that early detection is unattainable and explaining why. Case-based and comparative work is equally suitable. The aim is to sharpen retrospective method, not to furnish an instrument for preemptive intervention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The 29th IPSA World Congress of Political Science will be held at the LUISS Guido Carli in Rome, Italy as an in-person event from 24-28 July 2027 under the theme Uncertain Democracies: Rethinking Governance in a Changing Global System.<\/p>\n\n\n\n LUISS Guido Carli The 2027 IPSA World Congress of Political Science will be a fully in-person event. This decision by the IPSA Executive Committee aims to maximize the benefits of in-person interactions, essential for networking and collaboration. Participants can engage more fully in sessions, workshops, and presentations, facilitating dynamic discussions and enhancing the learning experience. Additionally, holding the congress in Rome offers a unique opportunity for cultural exchange, allowing attendees to experience a rich history and traditions. IPSA is introducing fully virtual events such as the Work-in-Progress Sessions<\/a> (IPSA-WiPS) and The Africa Online Workshop Series <\/a>(AOWS). For more information, please consult the official IPSA website<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The general requirement for oral presentations at the Congress is that they be delivered in English.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Each presentation room will be equipped with a computer, a screen and a projector. Wi-Fi Internet connection will be available. Each computer is equipped with the Microsoft Office suite. Please be sure to have your presentation ready on a USB drive (memory stick).<\/p>\n\n\n\n The panel is 1:45 in length, and must include time for questions. For more information about your individual panel presentation, please contact your panel convenor or panel chair directly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n All expenses related to travel, visa, accommodation, and meals are the sole responsibility of the participating delegate. Kindly make the necessary arrangements and budget considerations to cover these aspects of your attendance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Certification will be issued to all participants who attended their panel and fulfilled their role (paper author, paper co-author, chair, co-chair, discussant or participant). A certificate of attendance and a letter of participation will be available in electronic format (PDF) in the participant\u2019s user account [My Congress] <\/strong>after 29 July 2027.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Convenor:<\/strong> Dr. \u00d6zgecan Eskiduman (Center for Foreign Policy and Peace Research, Bilkent) -eskiduman@bilkent.edu.tr<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chair<\/strong>: Dr. \u00d6zgecan Eskiduman<\/p>\n\n\n\n Co-chair:<\/strong> Dr. Selin Kul (Hacettepe University) \u2013 selinkul24@gmail.com<\/p>\n\n\n\n Discussant<\/strong>: Dr. \u0130rem Karam\u0131k (Mardin Artuklu University) – iremkaramikkaya@gmail.com<\/p>\n\n\n\n Abstracts should be submitted directly through the IPSA World Congress portal:<\/p>\n\n\n\n 🔗 https:\/\/wc2027.ipsa.org\/wc\/panel\/early-warning-without-hindsight-concepts-and-methods-studying-crisis-onset<\/p>\n\n\n\n Deadline:<\/em><\/strong> 4 November 2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n Please note: paper abstracts must be submitted by authors through their own individual IPSA account; the convenor cannot submit on your behalf. A free IPSA account is required.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Queries can be directed to the convenor or contact list above.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Track: RC01 Concepts and Methods Type: Open Panel Crisis research is retrospective by design: protest waves, institutional breakdowns, and conflict onsets are coded once publicly visible, and explanation works backwards […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-guncel"],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.foreignpolicyandpeace.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3835","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.foreignpolicyandpeace.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.foreignpolicyandpeace.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.foreignpolicyandpeace.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.foreignpolicyandpeace.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3835"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.foreignpolicyandpeace.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3835\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3855,"href":"https:\/\/www.foreignpolicyandpeace.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3835\/revisions\/3855"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.foreignpolicyandpeace.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3835"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.foreignpolicyandpeace.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3835"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.foreignpolicyandpeace.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3835"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Venue:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Viale Romania, 32, 00197
Roma RM
Italy<\/p>\n\n\n\nFormat:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Language:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Presentations:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Expense Responsibility:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Certificate of Attendance<\/strong>:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n